he image on the grainy videotape is mesmerizing: a tall,
slim, middle- aged Arab man, with the bushy beard, white robes and
draped white headcloth of a devout Muslim, standing before a
gathering somewhere in Afghanistan. He is reading an Arabic poem,
apparently his own, on papers that riffle in a breeze.
The speaker's style is that of the fire-and-brimstone preachers
common at Friday Prayers across the Middle East. But he is no imam,
nor even, by calling, a poet. He is Osama bin Laden, the 46-year-old
Saudi-born fugitive millionaire who has declared a "holy war"
against the United States, directing suicide bombings that have made
him the F.B.I.'s most-wanted terrorist.
In the verses, read at the wedding in Afghanistan of his oldest
son earlier this year, Mr. bin Laden declares his purpose ?killing
Americans and Jews ?more starkly than ever. Proudly, he salutes the
suicide bombing of the American destroyer Cole in the Yemeni port of
Aden last October in which 17 American sailors died, and promises
more attacks.
"The victory of Yemen will continue," he says.
Shots of the Cole listing in Aden harbor after the attack, and of
the Americans being carried in flag-covered coffins ?and a
simulation of the bombing, complete with a blinding flash ?are
played in the tape's opening and closing sequences.
The shots are taken from American television coverage, and
accompanied by what seems like a gloating brutality. "Their limbs
were scattered everywhere," Mr. bin Laden says.
The verses also celebrate what Mr. bin Laden describes as the
futility of American military might. "In Aden, our brothers rose and
destroyed the mighty destroyer, a ship so powerful it spreads fear
wherever it sails," Mr. bin Laden says, over images of the Cole.
"But as it moves through the water, toward the small boat bobbing
in the water, it is sailing to its own destruction, drawn by the
illusion of its own power."
In the Cole attack, two Arab- speaking suicide bombers blew a
gaping hole in the destroyer at the waterline with an
explosives-laden skiff, causing $250 million damage. While Mr. bin
Laden, on the tape, stops short of saying he ordered the strike, he
effectively confirms what the F.B.I. suspected from the outset: that
it was a bin Laden operation.
Mr. bin Laden uses the tape to spell out a continuing nightmare
for his principal enemies, the United States and Israel. He promises
an intensified holy war that includes aid to Palestinians fighting
Israel ?an important shift in emphasis, according to intelligence
analysts. In recent years, through a series of violent attacks, Mr.
bin Laden's main focus has been on driving American forces from the
Arabian peninsula.
He also outlines plans for an expansion of his terrorist training
operations in Afghanistan, saying that the Taliban, the Islamic
militant movement that has sheltered him since 1996, have built an
ideal, purified Islamic state that provides the perfect base for a
worldwide holy war against "infidels."
When the two-hour videotape surfaced last June, it attracted
little attention, partly because much of it was spliced from
previous bin Laden interviews and tapes. But since then the tape has
proliferated on Islamic Web sites and in mosques and bazaars across
the Muslim world.
Intelligence officials who have analyzed the tape now say it
features the fullest exposition yet of Mr. bin Laden's views, as
well as his terrorist strategy, and thus provides a rough road map
of where his organization, Al-Qaeda, is headed.
With his mockery of American power, Mr. bin Laden seems to be
almost taunting the United States. Although F.B.I. investigators
believe he was behind the World Trade Center bombing in 1993 that
killed six people, two bombings in Saudi Arabia in 1995 and 1996 in
which 24 American servicemen died, and the bombings of two American
embassies in east Africa in 1998 that killed 224 people, as well as
the Cole attack, the United States has found no way, so far, of
containing him.
After nearly a year, American investigators have been unable to
trace the Cole plot beyond six men arrested in Aden for assisting
the bombers. The man thought to have directed the attack for
Al-Qaeda, Muhammad al-Harazi, is believed to have fled to
Afghanistan. Last month, the Indian police indicted Mr. bin Laden
and Mr. Harazi for an abortive plot in June to bomb the American
Embassy in Delhi, and alleged that Mr. Harazi visited New Delhi in
February, using a pseudonym, when he was already named as a Cole
suspect.
Now, despite a $5 million American reward for his capture,
multiple indictments in American courts, and a cruise missile strike
on his camps in Afghanistan in 1998 that he narrowly escaped, Mr.
bin Laden is threatening still more attacks. He tells followers that
there is nothing to fear from the United States and that their
Islamic faith ?and their willingness to die ?is enough to neutralize
America's military might.
To those who have studied Mr. bin Laden, this confidence is one
of the tape's strongest features. "A year or two ago, after the
missile attacks on Afghanistan, there were people in Washington
saying bin Laden was in a box," said Peter Bergen, a
Washington-based writer who interviewed Mr. bin Laden in Afghanistan
in 1997 and who is now writing a book on him, to be titled "Holy War
Inc." "But if he's in a box, he's a jack-in-a- box. He as much of a
threat as he ever was."
Part of Mr. bin Laden's defiance seems to stem from his
increasingly close ties with Afghanistan's Taliban rulers. Eager for
American diplomatic recognition and aid, the Islamic clerics who
lead the Taliban have suggested that they might expel Mr. bin Laden
from Afghanistan, where he fled after being forced from Sudan under
American pressure. But American officials suspect the Taliban's
hints at estrangement from Mr. bin Laden were a ploy, and the tape
seems to confirm this.
At one point, Mr. bin Laden declares the Taliban leader, Mullah
Muhammad Omar, the rightful spiritual leader of the Muslim world,
and says Afghanistan has become the equivalent of the purified
Islamic state established in Mecca and Medina, Islam's holiest
cities, by the Prophet Muhammad in the early seventh century. He
urges Muslims everywhere to migrate to Afghanistan to support the
Taliban and Al- Qaeda, saying it is their duty to God.
"There is now a Muslim state that enforces God's laws, which
destroys falsehoods, and which does not succomb to the American
infidels ?and it is led by a true believer, Mullah Muhammad Omar,
the commander of the faithful," he says.
Another sign of the freedoms Mr. bin Laden appears to enjoy are
the tape passages showing his followers engaging in combat training,
including firing heavy weapons and storming buildings, at a location
identified as the "al-Farooq camp." Some recruits appear little more
than 11 or 12. In one scene, Mr. bin Laden himself is seen crouching
to fire a Kalashnikov rifle.
Much of the tape focuses on the current upheaval in Israel and
the Palestinian territories. What is not clear, say intelligence
experts, is whether Mr. bin Laden plans to mount direct attacks on
Israeli targets, or whether he is firing followers' passions for
attacks elsewhere. "Our brothers in Palestine are waiting for you
anxiously, and expect you to strike at America and Israel," Mr. bin
Laden says. "God's earth is wide and their interests are
everywhere."
Since the Jordanian police foiled a bin Laden operation to mount
bombing attacks on pilgrims during millennium celebrations 20 months
ago, Israel has been on alert for fresh bin Laden terror plots.
Israeli intelligence officials say they have evidence that bin Laden
agents have already linked up with radical Islamic groups like
Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the Lebanon-based Hezbollah.
Vincent Cannistraro, former head of counterterrorist operations
for the Central Intelligence Agency, who reviewed the tape, said Mr.
bin Laden's warnings of new attacks should be taken seriously. "The
intifada has clearly focused his attention on the Palestinian
problem, which he sees in holy war terms ?the Palestinians being
oppressed by the Israelis, in ways that are only possible because of
the support they get from the United States," he said.
"This has reinforced his opinion about the United States and its
policies in the whole of the Middle East. It sharpens his instincts
for attack."